AlphaMarket — The market for what happens next

№01

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

72%chance

Yes 72¢No 28¢

$246,044.87 volin 42d

№02

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

52%chance

Yes 52¢No 48¢

$48,586.67 volin 76d

№03

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

3%chance

Yes 3¢No 97¢

$195,200.21 volin 811d

№04

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

20%chance

Yes 20¢No 80¢

$68,299.59 volin 811d

№05

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

64%chance

Yes 64¢No 36¢

$31,246.22 volin 46d

№06

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

33%chance

Yes 33¢No 67¢

$44,889.13 volin 46d

№07

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

9%chance

Yes 9¢No 91¢

$49,164.85 volin 811d

№08

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?

95%chance

Yes 95¢No 5¢

$83,885.86 volin 13d

№09

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

4%chance

Yes 4¢No 96¢

$50,036.11 volin 46d

№10

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

20%chance

Yes 20¢No 80¢

$27,867.30 volin 42d

№11

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

12%chance

Yes 12¢No 88¢

$24,377.44 volin 811d

№12

Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

6%chance

Yes 6¢No 94¢

$28,595.70 volin 42d

№13

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?

83%chance

Yes 83¢No 17¢

$11,502.49 volin 43d

№14

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

94%chance

Yes 94¢No 6¢

$13,018.23 volin 76d

№15

Will Melissa Hernandez win the CA-14 special election?

22%chance

Yes 22¢No 78¢

$11,204.53 volyesterday

№16

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

48%chance

Yes 48¢No 52¢

$20,331.71 volin 76d

№17

Will Aisha Wahab win the CA-14 special election?

87%chance

Yes 87¢No 13¢

$17,584.57 volyesterday

№18

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

47%chance

Yes 47¢No 53¢

$11,167.58 volin 811d

№19

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

4%chance

Yes 4¢No 96¢

$64,653.37 volin 134d

№20

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

40%chance

Yes 40¢No 60¢

$21,396.11 volin 76d

№21

Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?

83%chance

Yes 83¢No 17¢

$60,241.32 vol8d ago

№22

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

20%chance

Yes 20¢No 80¢

$25,691.90 volin 811d

№23

Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?

17%chance

Yes 17¢No 83¢

$52,295.72 vol8d ago

№24

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

30%chance

Yes 30¢No 70¢

$32,114.97 volin 134d

№25

Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?

60%chance

Yes 60¢No 40¢

$12,515.92 vol

№26

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

13%chance

Yes 13¢No 87¢

$40,104.24 volin 76d

№27

Trump out as President before 2027?

6%chance

Yes 6¢No 94¢

$34,898.27 volin 134d

№28

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

7%chance

Yes 7¢No 93¢

$44,121.29 volin 134d

№29

Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?

2%chance

Yes 2¢No 98¢

$134,645.05 voltoday

№30

Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

52%chance

Yes 52¢No 48¢

$11,246.92 volin 76d

№31

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

13%chance

Yes 13¢No 87¢

$18,016.73 volin 499d

№32

Valorant: JD Gaming vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffs

62%chance

JD Gami… 62¢TYLOO 38¢

$29,963.31 voltoday

№33

Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?

22%chance

Yes 22¢No 78¢

$23,467.13 volin 13d

№34

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

8%chance

Yes 8¢No 92¢

$12,550.04 volin 134d

№35

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?

4%chance

Yes 4¢No 96¢

$18,920.82 volin 135d

№36

Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31?

13%chance

Yes 13¢No 87¢

$10,257.59 volin 134d

The market for what happens next.

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Will Melissa Hernandez win the CA-14 special election?

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Will Aisha Wahab win the CA-14 special election?

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

Trump out as President before 2027?

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?

Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Valorant: JD Gaming vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffs

Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?

Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31?