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01Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?2%▲ 87
02Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 4?4%▲ 87
03Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 0.597%▲ 86
04Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?97%▲ 86
05US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz

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01All 02World Cup 03FIFA World Cup 04NBA 05MLB 06NHL 07UFC 08Tennis 09Trump 10Massie May 19 Primaries

8%▲ 86

Hot topics

01Bitcoin price ladders$2,231,175.24
02Fed interest-rate decisions$7,373,935.23
03Lol Kt Rolster Vs Dplus Kia Bo5$2,074,058.33
04AI model rankings$345,842.96
05Ethereum price ladders$402,787.90

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№01

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

57%chance

Yes 57¢No 43¢

$1,887,800.65 volin 12d

№02

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

42%chance

Yes 42¢No 58¢

$985,419.33 volin 12d

№03

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

14%chance

Yes 14¢No 86¢

$270,480.03 volin 119d

№04

Fed rate hike in 2026?

69%chance

Yes 69¢No 31¢

$227,813.60 volin 96d

№05

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

42%chance

Yes 42¢No 58¢

$97,404.60 volin 30d

№06

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

55%chance

Yes 55¢No 45¢

$77,153.93 volin 30d

№07

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

24%chance

Yes 24¢No 76¢

$125,420.07 volin 795d

№08

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September?

44%chance

Yes 44¢No 56¢

$85,953.99 volin 27d

№09

Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?

44%chance

Yes 44¢No 56¢

$76,889.54 volin 119d

№10

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

92%chance

Yes 92¢No 8¢

$188,948.44 volin 118d

№11

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

30%chance

Yes 30¢No 70¢

$103,636.15 volin 119d

№12

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?

62%chance

Yes 62¢No 38¢

$67,919.02 volin 27d

№13

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

70%chance

Yes 70¢No 30¢

$49,767.79 volin 26d

№14

US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?

60%chance

Yes 60¢No 40¢

$38,310.28 volin 119d

№15

Bitcoin Up or Down on September 4?

43%chance

Up 43¢Down 57¢

$59,501.50 voltoday

№16

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?

87%chance

Yes 87¢No 13¢

$160,896.85 volin 27d

№17

Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?

85%chance

Yes 85¢No 15¢

$156,249.03 volin 27d

№18

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 4?

21%chance

Yes 21¢No 79¢

$127,072.80 voltoday

№19

US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?

19%chance

Yes 19¢No 81¢

$85,574.04 volin 27d

№20

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

13%chance

Yes 13¢No 87¢

$110,197.67 volin 119d

№21

Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?

43%chance

Yes 43¢No 57¢

$32,902.47 volin 96d

№22

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 4?

89%chance

Yes 89¢No 11¢

$170,525.35 voltoday

№23

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

2%chance

Yes 2¢No 98¢

$120,969.40 volin 30d

№24

Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?

47%chance

Yes 47¢No 53¢

$41,285.91 volin 9d

№25

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?

59%chance

Yes 59¢No 41¢

$33,019.16 volin 119d

№26

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?

41%chance

Yes 41¢No 59¢

$36,064.47 voltomorrow

№27

LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - LCK Playoffs

57%chance

Gen.G 57¢Hanwha … 43¢

$23,151.63 voltomorrow

№28

Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?

55%chance

Yes 55¢No 45¢

$24,552.68 volin 96d

№29

Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?

44%chance

Yes 44¢No 56¢

$28,955.18 volin 27d

№30

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?

12%chance

Yes 12¢No 88¢

$128,122.23 volin 27d

№31

Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?

5%chance

Yes 5¢No 95¢

$105,557.74 volin 119d

№32

US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?

35%chance

Yes 35¢No 65¢

$32,106.46 volin 58d

№33

Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?

17%chance

Yes 17¢No 83¢

$121,599.62 voltomorrow

№34

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 4?

4%chance

Yes 4¢No 96¢

$167,825.26 voltoday

№35

LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Playoffs

12%chance

KT Rols… 12¢Dplus K… 88¢

$2,074,058.33 voltoday

№36

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?

86%chance

Yes 86¢No 14¢

$89,619.76 volin 26d