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AlphaMarket — The market for what happens next

The market for what happens next.

Vol. I · № 01

AlphaMarket DailyWednesday, August 19, 2026Live wire$3,574,248.94 24h51 contractsPolymarket CLOB · USDC · Polygon

01Sports 02All 03Politics 04Crypto 05Finance 06Tech 07Culture

Search

Results for “OpenAI’s Astra model be released”

51 markets ranked by relevance and activity.

Search results

51 live contracts · sorted by trending

Trending New Liquid Ending soon Competitive Clear ×

№01

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

72%chance

Yes 72¢No 28¢

$269,355.38 volin 42d

№02

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

52%

chance

Yes 52¢No 48¢

$48,447.93 volin 76d

№03

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?

95%chance

$94,827.58 volin 13d

№04

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

20%chance

Yes 20¢No 80¢

$28,275.18 volin 42d

№05

Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

6%chance

$29,669.72 volin 42d

№06

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

48%chance

Yes 48¢No 52¢

$19,926.48 volin 76d

№07

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

40%chance

Yes 40¢No 60¢

$21,304.09 volin 76d

№08

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

4%chance

$62,378.77 volin 134d

№09

Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?

83%chance

Yes 83¢No 17¢

$60,261.79 vol8d ago

№10

Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffs

42%chance

Bilibil… 42¢XLG Gam… 58¢

$16,486.31 voltoday

№11

Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?

18%chance

Yes 18¢No 82¢

$52,361.43 vol8d ago

№12

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

20%chance

Yes 20¢No 80¢

$25,124.22 volin 811d

№13

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

30%chance

Yes 30¢No 70¢

$32,114.97 volin 134d

№14

Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?

2%chance

$134,063.97 voltoday

№15

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

13%chance

Yes 13¢No 87¢

$40,092.41 volin 76d

№16

Trump out as President before 2027?

6%chance

$34,898.27 volin 134d

№17

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

7%chance

$44,334.44 volin 134d

№18

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

13%chance

Yes 13¢No 87¢

$18,016.73 volin 499d

№19

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

14%chance

Yes 14¢No 86¢

$14,991.00 volin 811d

№20

Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?

93%chance

$44,156.92 volin 13d

№21

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

8%chance

$13,793.19 volin 134d

№22

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?

5%chance

$18,920.82 volin 135d