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AlphaMarket — The market for what happens next

The market for what happens next.

Vol. I · № 01

AlphaMarket DailyWednesday, August 19, 2026Live wire$6,281,769.80 24h83 contractsPolymarket CLOB · USDC · Polygon

01Sports 02All 03Politics 04Crypto 05Finance 06Tech 07Culture

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Results for “NBA”

83 markets ranked by relevance and activity.

Search results

83 live contracts · sorted by trending

Trending New Liquid Ending soon Competitive Clear ×

№01

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

72%chance

Yes 72¢No 28¢

$245,911.12 volin 42d

№02

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

52%

chance

Yes 52¢No 48¢

$48,581.67 volin 76d

№03

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

3%chance

$186,808.39 volin 811d

№04

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

20%chance

Yes 20¢No 80¢

$68,299.59 volin 811d

№05

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

33%chance

Yes 33¢No 67¢

$44,826.72 volin 46d

№06

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

64%chance

Yes 64¢No 36¢

$31,201.22 volin 46d

№07

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

9%chance

$49,164.85 volin 811d

№08

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?

95%chance

$83,764.38 volin 13d

№09

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

4%chance

$49,957.76 volin 46d

№10

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

20%chance

Yes 20¢No 80¢

$27,862.49 volin 42d

№11

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

12%chance

Yes 12¢No 88¢

$24,372.10 volin 811d

№12

Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

6%chance

$28,594.64 volin 42d

№13

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?

83%chance

Yes 83¢No 17¢

$11,485.82 volin 43d

№14

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

94%chance

$13,018.23 volin 76d

№15

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

48%chance

Yes 48¢No 52¢

$20,319.59 volin 76d

№16

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

4%chance

$64,173.65 volin 134d

№17

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

40%chance

Yes 40¢No 60¢

$21,355.38 volin 76d

№18

Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?

83%chance

Yes 83¢No 17¢

$60,241.32 vol8d ago

№19

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

20%chance

Yes 20¢No 80¢

$25,067.55 volin 811d

№20

Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?

17%chance

Yes 17¢No 83¢

$52,295.72 vol8d ago

№21

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

30%chance

Yes 30¢No 70¢

$32,114.97 volin 134d

№22

Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?

60%chance

Yes 60¢No 40¢

$12,515.92 vol

№23

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

13%chance

Yes 13¢No 87¢

$40,092.41 volin 76d

№24

Trump out as President before 2027?

6%chance

$34,898.27 volin 134d

№25

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

7%chance

$44,121.29 volin 134d

№26

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

13%chance

Yes 13¢No 87¢

$18,016.73 volin 499d

№27

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

8%chance

$12,550.04 volin 134d

№28

Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?

23%chance

Yes 23¢No 77¢

$20,588.93 volin 13d

№29

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?

4%chance

$18,920.82 volin 135d