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AlphaMarket — The market for what happens next

The market for what happens next.

Vol. I · № 01

AlphaMarket DailyWednesday, August 19, 2026Live wire$6,598,477.90 24h84 contractsPolymarket CLOB · USDC · Polygon

01Sports 02All 03Politics 04Crypto 05Finance 06Tech 07Culture

Search

Results for “NATO x Russia military clash”

84 markets ranked by relevance and activity.

Search results

84 live contracts · sorted by trending

Trending New Liquid Ending soon Competitive Clear ×

№01

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

72%chance

Yes 72¢No 28¢

$277,923.33 volin 42d

№02

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

52%

chance

Yes 52¢No 48¢

$48,447.93 volin 76d

№03

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

2%chance

$202,901.71 volin 811d

№04

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

20%chance

Yes 20¢No 80¢

$68,861.40 volin 811d

№05

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

33%chance

Yes 33¢No 67¢

$45,444.83 volin 46d

№06

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

64%chance

Yes 64¢No 36¢

$30,877.75 volin 46d

№07

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?

95%chance

$96,726.40 volin 13d

№08

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

9%chance

$49,064.85 volin 811d

№09

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

20%chance

Yes 20¢No 80¢

$30,077.96 volin 42d

№10

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

4%chance

$51,283.55 volin 46d

№11

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

12%chance

Yes 12¢No 88¢

$25,914.47 volin 811d

№12

Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

6%chance

$30,777.99 volin 42d

№13

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?

83%chance

Yes 83¢No 17¢

$11,568.89 volin 43d

№14

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

48%chance

Yes 48¢No 52¢

$19,899.40 volin 76d

№15

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

4%chance

$63,271.82 volin 134d

№16

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

40%chance

Yes 40¢No 60¢

$21,304.09 volin 76d

№17

Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?

82%chance

Yes 82¢No 18¢

$63,027.65 vol8d ago

№18

Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffs

42%chance

Bilibil… 42¢XLG Gam… 58¢

$19,477.12 voltoday

№19

Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?

18%chance

Yes 18¢No 82¢

$53,552.38 vol8d ago

№20

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

20%chance

Yes 20¢No 80¢

$25,126.90 volin 811d

№21

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

30%chance

Yes 30¢No 70¢

$32,119.19 volin 134d

№22

Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?

2%chance

$133,338.97 voltoday

№23

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

13%chance

Yes 13¢No 87¢

$40,092.41 volin 76d

№24

Trump out as President before 2027?

6%chance

$33,714.82 volin 134d

№25

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

7%chance

$44,334.44 volin 134d

№26

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

13%chance

Yes 13¢No 87¢

$18,016.73 volin 499d

№27

Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?

96%chance

$56,057.55 volin 13d

№28

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

8%chance

$13,793.19 volin 134d

№29

Israel closes its airspace by August 31?

4%chance

$18,171.12 vol35d ago

№30

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?

5%chance

$18,920.82 volin 135d

№31

Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?

97%chance

$10,068.37 volin 43d