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AlphaMarket — The market for what happens next

The market for what happens next.

Vol. I · № 01

AlphaMarket DailyWednesday, August 19, 2026Live wire$6,545,492.53 24h79 contractsPolymarket CLOB · USDC · Polygon

01Sports 02All 03Politics 04Crypto 05Finance 06Tech 07Culture

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Results for “Bank rate”

80 markets ranked by relevance and activity.

Search results

80 live contracts · sorted by trending

Trending New Liquid Ending soon Competitive Clear ×

№01

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

73%chance

Yes 73¢No 27¢

$269,896.61 volin 42d

№02

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

52%

chance

Yes 52¢No 48¢

$53,343.27 volin 76d

№03

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

3%chance

$249,189.75 volin 811d

№04

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

20%chance

Yes 20¢No 80¢

$106,950.96 volin 811d

№05

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

64%chance

Yes 64¢No 36¢

$43,557.11 volin 46d

№06

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

32%chance

Yes 32¢No 68¢

$64,146.34 volin 46d

№07

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?

95%chance

$88,832.15 volin 13d

№08

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

4%chance

$65,518.50 volin 46d

№09

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

19%chance

Yes 19¢No 81¢

$29,304.75 volin 42d

№10

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

13%chance

Yes 13¢No 87¢

$25,116.44 volin 811d

№11

Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

6%chance

$33,755.74 volin 42d

№12

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

8%chance

$20,936.77 volin 811d

№13

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

46%chance

Yes 46¢No 54¢

$43,216.82 volin 76d

№14

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

13%chance

Yes 13¢No 87¢

$75,955.24 volin 499d

№15

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

20%chance

Yes 20¢No 80¢

$36,512.98 volin 811d

№16

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

39%chance

Yes 39¢No 61¢

$20,435.92 volin 76d

№17

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

13%chance

Yes 13¢No 87¢

$50,705.32 volin 76d

№18

Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?

84%chance

Yes 84¢No 16¢

$51,947.00 vol8d ago

№19

Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?

16%chance

Yes 16¢No 84¢

$30,718.54 vol8d ago

№20

Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?

23%chance

Yes 23¢No 77¢

$27,845.79 volin 13d

№21

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

4%chance

$21,419.56 volin 134d

№22

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

6%chance

$25,711.09 volin 134d

№23

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

4%chance

$25,228.59 volin 134d

№24

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

6%chance

$23,626.67 volin 134d

№25

Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?

7%chance

$19,290.75 volin 13d

№26

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?

6%chance

$18,768.78 volin 135d

№27

Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31?

12%chance

Yes 12¢No 88¢

$16,517.26 volin 134d